Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.114449 0.122493 0.130882 0.140295 0.150580 0.161494 0.173974
2025-10-12 0.100560 0.112820 0.126391 0.142597 0.161520 0.183029 0.209489
2025-10-19 0.089507 0.104045 0.120884 0.141995 0.167985 0.199237 0.240125
2025-10-26 0.081549 0.097507 0.116678 0.141685 0.173860 0.214451 0.270481
2025-11-02 0.074785 0.091499 0.112187 0.140081 0.177339 0.226321 0.297200
2025-11-09 0.068261 0.085094 0.106446 0.136034 0.176815 0.232351 0.316075
2025-11-16 0.063333 0.080277 0.102246 0.133455 0.177726 0.240015 0.337618
2025-11-23 0.059200 0.076160 0.098587 0.131168 0.178615 0.247421 0.359220
2025-11-30 0.056799 0.074164 0.097584 0.132389 0.184459 0.262373 0.393897
2025-12-07 0.053086 0.070116 0.093440 0.128726 0.182651 0.265387 0.409444
2025-12-14 0.049186 0.065585 0.088329 0.123254 0.177589 0.262743 0.414996
2025-12-21 0.046461 0.062564 0.085196 0.120494 0.176456 0.266166 0.431212
2025-12-28 0.045412 0.061933 0.085555 0.123151 0.184257 0.285201 0.478200
2026-01-04 0.044165 0.060955 0.085349 0.124932 0.190814 0.302858 0.525339
2026-01-11 0.042406 0.059123 0.083747 0.124369 0.193387 0.313793 0.561045
2026-01-18 0.040857 0.057519 0.082392 0.124089 0.196377 0.325700 0.600348
2026-01-25 0.039171 0.055622 0.080470 0.122728 0.197326 0.333867 0.632946
2026-02-01 0.037137 0.053097 0.077433 0.119299 0.194301 0.334162 0.648435
2026-02-08 0.035518 0.051147 0.075211 0.117113 0.193346 0.338338 0.673159
2026-02-15 0.034062 0.049388 0.073208 0.115173 0.192675 0.342964 0.699533
2026-02-22 0.033321 0.048720 0.072933 0.116209 0.197637 0.359411 0.756619
2026-03-01 0.031793 0.046734 0.070404 0.113100 0.194411 0.358521 0.770661
2026-03-08 0.030047 0.044341 0.067106 0.108449 0.187881 0.350073 0.764279